Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 11.121923 12.802560 14.604208 16.673788 18.979814 21.464643 24.338825
2025-08-10 8.517199 10.717607 13.246659 16.347561 20.024939 24.223910 29.356828
2025-08-17 6.900387 9.310064 12.232560 15.996142 20.668667 26.231028 33.300744
2025-08-24 5.757663 8.256261 11.430510 15.691734 21.187420 27.956364 36.833726
2025-08-31 4.805966 7.295998 10.598195 15.201996 21.345439 29.143127 39.653046
2025-09-07 4.243126 6.775292 10.262240 15.284922 22.184713 31.166542 43.550809
2025-09-14 3.757914 6.297008 9.920270 15.300646 22.892065 33.004368 47.236344
2025-09-21 3.393501 5.948221 9.715898 15.468471 23.783312 35.089550 51.293856
2025-09-28 3.035761 5.564653 9.417293 15.460948 24.401892 36.800522 54.879003
2025-10-05 2.822954 5.384958 9.401584 15.853190 25.591406 39.324926 59.645552
2025-10-12 2.605890 5.172043 9.310737 16.113763 26.584242 41.591351 64.109538
2025-10-19 2.380415 4.918263 9.129486 16.212639 27.325475 43.507524 68.121702
2025-10-26 2.075195 4.492155 8.636179 15.790790 27.260964 44.261584 70.514959
2025-11-02 1.826849 4.139687 8.233438 15.481041 27.341882 45.217899 73.217762
2025-11-09 1.604796 3.808638 7.835820 15.145139 27.350886 46.048528 75.740264
2025-11-16 1.416026 3.518505 7.482815 14.854191 27.405313 46.933597 78.351886
2025-11-23 1.226161 3.200139 7.047893 14.386201 27.135870 47.293784 80.161717
2025-11-30 1.125394 3.058352 6.929642 14.465436 27.771491 49.078984 84.190649
2025-12-07 1.027154 2.909083 6.783056 14.480461 28.292329 50.690660 87.986397
2025-12-14 0.953723 2.806892 6.719472 14.640828 29.063606 52.720480 92.482236
2025-12-21 0.870332 2.669692 6.572828 14.633639 29.537400 54.276021 96.263132
2025-12-28 0.829586 2.631570 6.626416 15.008502 30.696098 56.981575 101.937035
2026-01-04 0.780596 2.566137 6.616539 15.257572 31.636168 59.348062 107.119611